Today’s Bitcoin Options Expiry: Could $3.4B Reshape the Market?

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Around 37,000 Bitcoin options contracts will expire on Friday, Dec. 5, and they have a notional value of roughly $3.4 billion. This expiry event is much smaller than recent ones, so there is not likely to be any impact on spot markets, which have stabilized somewhat after Monday’s sell-off and quick recovery.

US government economic data is flowing again, and labor market and employment data look a little gloomy, which is good news for Federal Reserve rate cut expectations next week. The probability of a 0.25% rate cut on December 10 has now increased to 87% according to CME futures.

Bitcoin Options Expiry
This week’s batch of Bitcoin options contracts has a put/call ratio of 0.94, meaning that longs and shorts are almost evenly matched. Max pain is around $91,000, according to Coinglass.

Open interest (OI), or the value or number of Bitcoin options contracts yet to expire, is highest at $100,000, which has $2.7 billion at this strike price on Deribit. There is also almost $2 billion in OI at $80k and $85k targeted by short sellers. Total BTC options OI across all exchanges is at $55 billion, according to Coinglass.

The options market has continued to develop as institutional participation has grown significantly in 2025, reported Levitas on Thursday.

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